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The Closer Report » 2012 Closer Draft Kit 21-40

2012 Closer Draft Kit 21-40

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The Closer Report has created the first ever Closer Draft Kit. The kit will be comprised of a ranking of the top 50+ relievers, player projections, injury risk and stability rating, team save projections, closer ADP, and a draft strategy and closer talk podcast. My projections are based on a formula that uses a combination of past statistics and a system of variables that project “the best case scenario” player projections. I use injury, consistency, stability and other “secret recipe” variables for all players.

2012 Team Save Projections

TSP (Team Save Projections), IR (Injury Risk), and S(Stability). Stats are Saves-Wins-ERA-WHIP-Strikeouts. Injury risk (1-10) is evaluated with 10 being no injury risk and 5 a certain trip to the DL. Stability (1-10) is a measure of the closers consistency and job security.

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Rk
Player Projected Stats
IR/S

TSP

Side Note
21 Joel
Hanrahan, PIT
35-4-2.86-1.19-65

9/9

Hanrahan will not repeat last years numbers, but will still be a very serviceable closer on a terrible team.
22
Chris Perez, CLE
34-5-3.01-1.19-35 9/9   Perez has the talent to be a ACE closer, but his
consistency and Ks have prevented that so far.
 
23 Joe Nathan, TX 32-2-3.45-1.22-72

7/9

Nathan will turn 38 in 2012 and is coming off Tommy John surgery. His health and age are major reasons to stay away.
24 Kyle Farnsworth, TB 30-2-2.77-1.14-55

10/9

Farnsworth showed he can close. Now he’ll get a chance at a full season. Temper expectations a tad.
25
Jim Johnson, BAL
 
23-7-2.98-1.11-61 8/8   Johnson held the closer role from Kevin Gregg and
will open the season as the Orioles closer.
26 Matt Lindstrom, BAL 17-4-3.25-1.30-62

9/9

Now in Baltimore, expect Lindstrom to get plenty of saves.
27 Grant Balfour, OAK

21-5-2.78-1.08-61 10/9   Balfour is considered a favorite to close with the
departure of Bailey. I don’t see that happening.
28

Matt Capps, MIN

21-5-4.05-1.19-32

9/7

Capps is
not a closer you want on your roster. His stats are bad and he may not
close for long.

29

Glen Perkins, MIN

22-4-2.25-1.15-69

10/9

Perkins
could be the closer by June. Stay tuned for the “Capps Watch.”
30


Brett Myers, HOU

27-5-3.86-1.20-60

9/8

Myers is a stop gap, nothing more. If he stays all
season as closer, he won’t break 30 saves.
31

Rafael Betancourt, COL

19-4-3.31-1.05-69

10/8

I’m not
sold that Betancourt will be the Rockies closer. Maybe to start, but not to
finish.
32


Kenley Jansen, LAD

12-3-1.99-1.16-115

8/10

Jansen could be the opening day closer. His K/9 is
filthy.
33

Jonny Venters, ATL

9-6-1.92-1.04-92

10/9

Venters
will be used to spell Kimbrel when rest is needed. That could be often
34 Mike Adams, Tex

 

11-4-2.15-1.11-79 10/10   With Nathan as the closer, Adams could see plenty of
save chances with ol’ Joe on the DL now and then.
35 Addison Reed, CWS 9-7-2.99-1.08-85 10/8   Reed could be the closer this year, so hold him
close.  He’s got a K/9 that is out of this world.

36

Joel Peralta, TB

15-6-2.68-0.99-62

10/9

Peralta
continues to improve as a late inning pitcher. He is quickly developing
into a future closer.
37

Wilton Lopez, HOU

18-6-2.40-1.18-61

9/9

Lopez is next tin line to close when Lyon fails.
38

Brian Fuentes, OAK

9-5-3.44-1.25-44

10/8

Fuentes
should be the opening day closer for the A’s, but for how long?
39 Jonathan Broxton, KC 18-8-3.12-1.14-62 7/8   With Soria out for the season, Broxton is first in
line for saves.
40

Tyler Clippard, WAS

5-4-2.05-0.96-108

10/10

Clippard
is a closer in the making, but stands behind Storen. If Storen gets moved
to the rotation, Clippard is the closer in D.C.

40

Mark Melancon, BOS

14-7-3.02-1.18-71

10/9

Anyone
who backs up Andrew Bailey will see saves. FACT.

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