The Closer Report » 2012 Closer Draft Kit 21-40
2012 Closer Draft Kit 21-40
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The Closer Report has created the first ever Closer Draft Kit. The kit will be comprised of a ranking of the top 50+ relievers, player projections, injury risk and stability rating, team save projections, closer ADP, and a draft strategy and closer talk podcast. My projections are based on a formula that uses a combination of past statistics and a system of variables that project “the best case scenario” player projections. I use injury, consistency, stability and other “secret recipe” variables for all players. 2012 Team Save Projections TSP (Team Save Projections), IR (Injury Risk), and S(Stability). Stats are Saves-Wins-ERA-WHIP-Strikeouts. Injury risk (1-10) is evaluated with 10 being no injury risk and 5 a certain trip to the DL. Stability (1-10) is a measure of the closers consistency and job security. |
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Rk |
Player | Projected Stats | IR/S |
TSP |
Side Note |
| 21 | J.J. Putz, ARI | 32-3-3.01-1.09-57 |
7/9 |
Putz is a major injury risk at 35. He’d be a risk at 25! Handcuff him! | |
| 22 | Mariano Rivera, NYY | 33-6-2.55-1.17-53 |
9/10 |
At 41+, even Rivera has to start a steady and steep decline. I’d just look elsewhere for a closer. | |
| 23 | Joel Hanrahan, PIT |
35-4-2.86-1.19-59 |
9/9 |
Hanrahan will not repeat last years numbers, but will still be a very serviceable closer on a terrible team. | |
| 24 | Joe Nathan, TX | 32-2-3.45-1.22-72 |
7/9 |
Nathan will turn 38 in 2012 and is coming off Tommy John surgery. His health and age are major reasons to stay away. | |
| 25 | Kyle Farnsworth, TB | 30-2-2.77-1.14-55 |
10/9 |
Farnsworth showed he can close. Now he’ll get a chance at a full season. Temper expectations a tad. | |
| 26 | Matt Lindstrom, COL | 15-4-2.92-1.30-60 |
9/9 |
With the mess in Colorado, expect Lindstrom to get plenty of saves | |
| 27 |
Kevin Gregg, BAL |
27-4-3.77-1.44-57 |
9/7 |
Gregg is a average closer on a bad team. Hopefully the Orioles can improve in 2012 and give Gregg more save chances. | |
| 28 |
Matt Capps, MIN |
21-5-4.05-1.19-32 |
9/7 |
Capps is not a closer you want on your roster. His stats are bad and he may not close for long. |
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29 |
Glen Perkins, MIN |
22-4-2.25-1.15-69 |
10/9 |
Perkins could be the closer by June. Stay tuned for the “Capps Watch.” |
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| 30 |
Brian Fuentes, OAK |
27-5-3.44-1.25-44 |
10/8 |
Fuentes should be the opening day closer for the A’s, but for how long? |
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| 31 |
Rafael Betancourt, COL |
19-4-3.31-1.05-69 |
10/8 |
I’m not sold that Betancourt will be the Rockies closer. Maybe to start, but not to finish. |
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| 32 | Sean Marshall, CIN | 11-6-2.02-1.02-76 | 10/10 | Marshall is a great setup man with all the potential in the world to take over as closer if needed. I expect him to notch double-digit saves. |
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| 33 |
Jonny Venters, ATL |
9-6-1.92-1.04-92 |
10/9 |
Venters will be used to spell Kimbrel when rest is needed. That could be often |
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| 34 |
Brandon Lyon, HOU |
22-4-3.42-1.25-49 |
8/7 |
Lyon won’t close the entire season and may not even open the season as closer. Stay away. |
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35 |
Joel Peralta, TB |
15-6-2.68-0.99-62 |
10/9 |
Peralta continues to improve as a late inning pitcher. He is quickly developing into a future closer. |
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| 36 |
Wilton Lopez, HOU |
18-6-2.40-1.18-61 |
9/9 |
Lopez is next tin line to close when Lyon fails. | |
| 37 |
Kenley Jansen, LAD |
12-3-1.99-1.16-115 |
8/10 |
Jansen could be the opening day closer. His K/9 is filthy. |
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| 38 |
Tyler Clippard, WAS |
7-4-2.05-0.96-108 |
10/10 |
Clippard is a closer in the making, but stands behind Storen. If Storen gets moved to the rotation, Clippard is the closer in D.C. |
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39 |
Mark Melancon, BOS |
14-7-3.02-1.18-71 |
10/9 |
Anyone who backs up Andrew Bailey will see saves. FACT. |
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| 40 | Dave Robertson, NYY | 9-4-1.80-1.18-105 |
10/10 |
Robertson is in line to be the next Yankee closer. Have him on your roster. |
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