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The Closer Report » 2012 Closer Draft Kit 41-66

2012 Closer Draft Kit 41-66

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The Closer Report has created the first ever Closer Draft Kit. The kit will be comprised of a ranking of the top 50+ relievers, player projections, injury risk and stability rating, team save projections, closer ADP, and a draft strategy and closer talk podcast.

My projections are based on a formula that usesa combination of past statistics and a system of variables that project “the best case scenario” player projections. I use injury, consistency, stability and other “secret recipe” variables for all players.

2012 Team Save Projections

TSP (Team Save Projections), IR (Injury Risk), and S(Stability). Stats
are Saves-Wins-ERA-WHIP-Strikeouts. Injury risk (1-10) is evaluated with 10 being no injury risk and 5 a
certain trip to the DL. Stability (1-10) is a measure of the closers consistency and job security.

Last Updated

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Player Projected Stats


Side Note
41 Dave Robertson, NYY 9-4-1.80-1.18-105 10/10   Robertson is in line to be the next Yankee closer. Have him on
your roster.
42 Andrew Cashner, SD 6-6-2.56-1.09-78 10/8   If Street goes down, Cashner and his 100+ MPH fastball will take
43 Vinnie Pestano, CLE 15-5-2.42-1.02-80


Pestano will open the season as the closer with Perez on the DL. He’s got electric stuff and
is a closer of the future.
44 Greg Holland, KC 11-5-2.10-0.98-79


Another great arm in an already deep KC bullpen. Expect him to be the setup man over Broxton to open the season.


Luke Gregerson, SD 10-6-3.01-1.24-90 9/9 Gregerson was hurt in 2011 and didn’t have the best season. He will
rebound in 2012. Backing up Street is a busy job.
46 Santiago Casilla, SF 8-4-1.88-1.12-55


Casilla came on strong late last season to notch 4 saves. He will be Wilson’s primary setup man.
48 Fernando Salas, StL 9-7-2.55-1.04-80


Salas should work in some saves while Motte rests or if he gets hurts.
49 Antonio Bastardo, PHI 8-7-2.10-0.95-72


Bastardo will setup for Papelbon and get some save chances now and then.
50 Takashi Saito, ARI 10-5-2.60-1.02-59


If healthy, Saito makes a great setup man and a handcuff for Putz.
51 Francisco Rodriguez, MIL 6-8-2.19-1.26-73


KROD is 30 and no longer closing. I’d draft him late as he could be traded or close
at any time if Axford goes down.
52 Evan Meek, PIT 5-5-2.40-1.09-72 9/9 Meek was beat up last season. Expect a big come back year for the All-Star.
53 David Carpenter, HOU 7-5-2.42-1.25-75


Carpenter qualifies as a rookie and could be vaulted to setup man and eventually closer if he pitches strong in spring training and to start the season.
54 Jeff Samardzija, CHC 5-5-2.78-1.23-84


Samardzija haswhat it takes to be a closer. If Marmol fails, expect him to fit the role.
55 Kevin Gregg, BAL 27-4-3.77-1.44-57 9/7   Gregg is a average closer on a bad team. Hopefully the Orioles
can improve in 2012 and give Gregg more save chances.


Scott Elbert, LAD 5-6-2.20-1.17-65


With how messed up the Dodgers bullpen is , even Elbert could get in on the mix of saves.
57 Hisanori Takahashi, LAA 6-3-3.65-1.26-55


Takahashi will get some
saves when Walden is resting. Assuming Downs gets skipped over.
58 Casey Janssen, TOR 4-5-2.61-1.12-69 9/8 Janssen will setup for Santos and get plenty of work in the rebuild BlueJays bullpen.
59 Jon Rauch, NYM 7-6-3.24-1.27-41


Backing Francisco means he will see some save chances. Not a bad handcuff.
60 Wilton Lopez, HOU 6-5-2.56-1.22-54


At 29 Lopez is in the prime of his career, but doesn’t have the stuff a closer needs. He will open the season as the setup man for Houston.
61 Ramon Ramirez, SF 4-4-2.89-1.09-69


Ramirez is a risk because I don’t know where he’ll be come July. Still, he can steal some saves.
62 Sean Burnett, WAS 3-7-3.20-1.18-65


Burnett (L) had an up and down season in 2011. He will not setup for the Nats, but
remain a big contributor from the bullpen.
63 Joaquin Benoit, DET 3-4-3.10-1.10-61


Aging set up man, but still 100% effective. He may not close if Valverde goes down,
but he will produce.
64 Scott Downs, LAA 4-6-2.10-1.03-38


Downs is a strong lefty out of the bullpen, but he is not a 9th inning guy.


Octavio Dotel, DET 2-6-3.44-1.01-65


At 37, Dotel continues to pitch well. However, he is fading and is only relevant
on this list out of respect.


Rafeal Soriano, NYY 1-7-3.21-1.19-52


Soriano should fall to the 7th inning role with Robertson getting the setup role.

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